ELECTION PREVIEW: CA15 and the Best of the Rest in the East Bay

Hugh Bussell and Rep. Eric Swalwell

THE CANDIDATES After upsetting 40-year Congressman Pete Stark in 2012, Rep. Eric Swalwell is seeking re-election for the first time. Last June, Republican Hugh Bussell, meanwhile, may have scored an even bigger upset than Swalwell’s. Absolutely, nobody, including Bussell, himself, believed he would nab the second spot in the General Election over State Sen. Ellen Corbett. What makes the upset so much greater than Swalwell’s is Bussell did it without any money or organization.

PAST RESULTS 2014 June Primary: 1. Eric Swalwell (D) 42,419 (49.1%)  2. Hugh Bussell (R) 22,228 (25.7%) 3. Ellen Corbett (D) 21,798 (25.2%). 2012 General Election: 1. Eric Swalwell (D) 120,388 (52.1%) 2. Pete Stark (D) 110,646 (47.9%) .

CAMPAIGN FINANCE (through Oct. 15): Swalwell $440,320 cash on hand; $1,958,247 raised this cycle. Bussell $4,086 cash on hand; $10,074 raised this cycle.

OUTLOOK The Republicans essentially chalked up this race as major victory by merely knocking out the more progressive Corbett in the primary. In fact, Bussell seems to have surrendered since. Corbett posed the last threat to Swalwell becoming a consistent victor every two years just like the man he beat in 2012.

PREDICTIONS 1. Swalwell 2. Bussell

OTHER RACES THIS FALL
13TH CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 1) Barbara Lee 2) Dakin Sundeen

25th ASSEMBLY DISTRICT 1) Kansen Chu 2) Bob Brunton

BART DISTRICT 4 1) Robert Raburn 2) Lena Tam

ALAMEDA COUNTY SUPERINTENDENT 1) Karen Monroe 2) Helen Foster

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