|SD7 candidate Steve Glazer|
STATE SENTATE | DISTRICT 7 | Steve Glazer’s hopes of winning next Tuesday’s special State Senate Seventh District race were buoyed Friday by an independent poll showing a 10-point advantage over fellow Democrat Susan Bonilla with just days before the May 19 election.
The telephone poll, conducted by KPIX-TV and Survey USA, shows Glazer holding 45 percent of 684 registered likely voters, followed by Bonilla with 35 percent. Twenty percent of those surveyed May 12-13 say they are still undecided.
According to the poll, much of Glazer’s margin is due to support from independent voters, a voting bloc the moderate Glazer has strove to cultivate. Among this subset of voters, Glazer leads Bonilla, 46-26.
Glazer also leads among those who say they have already cast a vote-by-mail ballot, 52-39. The spread is notable since the high number of ballots already returned appear skewed toward Democratic voters. Supporters of Bonilla’s campaign have pointed to the voter data as evidence of strong support for their candidate, although, both maintain the same party affiliation.
Unsurprisingly, Republicans support Glazer by a 5-to-1 margin, according to the poll, while Democrats support Bonilla by a 2-to-1 clip. Meanwhile, wealthy voters are backing Glazer by double-digits, yet those earning less than $40,000 a year are split between the candidates, 40-40.
The campaign’s top wedge issue, whether or not BART employees should maintain the right to strike, highly favors Glazer. Sixty percent of those survey say they should not, while 30 percent want to maintain the status quo.