Polling overwhelmingly predicts Rep. Mike Honda
and Ro Khanna will meet again this November.
CONGRESS | 17TH DISTRICT |
A recent KPIX/SurveyUSA poll showed a six-point spread between Democrats Rep. Mike Honda and Ro Khanna, but the most important figure in the survey is the amount of undecided voters.
The poll in advance of the June primary revealed 29 percent of respondents described themselves as undecided. The high percentage of wavering voters likely explains some skepticism among politicos over its efficacy.
According to the poll, measuring 600 registered voters in the district between May 18-23, reported support for Honda at 31 percent of likely voters, followed by Khanna with 25 percent.
Republicans Ron Cohen was next with 7 percent, followed by Peter Kuo with 5 percent. Somewhat surprisingly Democratic San Jose Councilmember Pierluigi Oliverio garnered just 2 percent, as did libertarian candidate Kennita Watson. The poll’s margin of error is +/-4.2 percent.
READ: CA17 KPIX/SURVEYUSA POLL
Two years ago, during the first Honda-Khanna matchup, both pre-election SurveyUSA polls were very accurate. In June 2014, polling showed Honda leading the pack by 19 points; he won by 20. Prior to the 2014 November Election, polling predicted a 2-point win by Honda; he later topped Khanna by just under 4 points.
However, this time around, SurveyUSA’s polling may not hit the mark. One line of thinking posits that a six-point spread for Honda would spell certain disaster for his prospects in November. Yet, there appears to be absolutely no fear coming out of Honda’s campaign. It is laying low, staying out of the fray and has produced just three positive, informational mailers.
Another reason to question the poll: 69 percent of its respondents participated via landline phone, as opposed to those using more ubiquitous cellphones.